Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 9.138606 10.263326 11.544039 13.126406 15.051775 17.349206 20.346141
2024-12-29 7.661488 9.158574 11.037365 13.635135 17.250010 22.300586 30.302850
2025-01-05 6.496118 8.042463 10.095054 13.134907 17.751788 24.962972 38.272455
2025-01-12 5.661552 7.178440 9.271696 12.528470 17.810780 26.827214 45.822728
2025-01-19 5.090239 6.579589 8.701228 12.141946 18.051643 28.993370 55.270300
2025-01-26 4.727822 6.223275 8.419279 12.128172 18.878804 32.505089 70.566307
2025-02-02 4.662195 6.282263 8.757398 13.171923 21.885093 41.881639 113.773369
2025-02-09 4.516500 6.199763 8.854515 13.807639 24.292300 51.393673 179.338603
2025-02-16 4.284326 5.957658 8.656630 13.858852 25.462445 58.431434 258.739979
2025-02-23 4.158450 5.870234 8.704881 14.385952 27.906736 71.428384 466.530403
2025-03-02 3.873865 5.501564 8.225771 13.773610 27.343136 73.507932 592.102889
2025-03-09 3.707286 5.314788 8.050483 13.765314 28.377087 82.972097 1028.440872
2025-03-16 3.510108 5.081926 7.804353 13.648474 29.337010 94.714522 2348.165899
2025-03-23 3.405586 5.001316 7.836972 14.175851 32.519871 124.294261 42245.084044
2025-03-30 3.189170 4.710041 7.440527 13.645679 32.176982 132.879499 NaN
2025-04-06 2.982280 4.421489 7.023555 13.004432 31.264108 136.660530 NaN
2025-04-13 2.820064 4.201310 6.720798 12.596171 31.051457 146.571949 NaN
2025-04-20 2.713556 4.072851 6.586418 12.581627 32.286570 173.801390 NaN
2025-04-27 2.722300 4.150867 6.870739 13.684808 38.513009 294.001992 NaN
2025-05-04 2.686374 4.143985 6.980194 14.357897 43.570724 472.521208 NaN
2025-05-11 2.601624 4.040099 6.874476 14.412158 45.813699 642.879485 NaN
2025-05-18 2.560679 4.015909 6.937437 14.970959 51.216362 1187.495205 NaN
2025-05-25 2.435573 3.823686 6.616011 14.321845 49.395335 1222.215553 NaN